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And on the macro side, the big three factors are economic growth, real rates and inflation. And we like to think about three more, which we believe to be important: emerging markets, credit and liquidity. How many factors are there? Half a dozen macro factors, half a dozen style.
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Oscar Pulido: As we talk about factors, it's impossible to ignore the market volatility of click weeks. And you mentioned defense and minimum volatility. So, as we deal with the market environment, are factors performing in a way that you would have expected? And factors, actually, unlike the general market conditions, are performing exactly in line as what we would expect. Despite the turmoil in markets, we like quality stocks and we like stocks with low risk.
If we look at cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument minimum volatility strategies have faired, well actually they're down less. And we also see this internationally. And if we look at minimum volatility strategies, they've also outperformed there.
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So, we want defense with quality and minimum volatility. One of cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument surprising things, though, more recently, has been the outperformance of momentum. And we usually think of momentum as being a procyclical factor. That is, it does kind of really well when the market ramps up. But momentum actually can do well as long as there are trends, trends up or trends down.
And this is a really good illustration of where momentum has done well actually in a falling market. We believe that momentum is an attractive factor today, and we've seen that in the performance year to date.
Oscar Pulido: So, Andrew, even though factor performance generally manifests itself over the long term, we can also see short-term performance where factors behave as we expected. Is it fair to think of it that way? Andrew Ang: Right on, Oscar. And as we come in into this very late cycle and we've entered this bear market, value strategies and size strategies have underperformed.
Value has actually had a tough time for several years now. We expect value to underperform in a late economic cycle. A value stock is typically something that's, it's a little bit staid, a little bit old fashioned. It makes things. Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument got factories and production lines. It's got a lot of fixed assets. And it's got business models that are very efficient, but it's hard to change what you manufacture on your factory floor overnight or produce another service.
Not surprisingly, value stocks tend to underperform during a late economic cycle because you'd really want to be doing something else, but you just can't.XD, no cambies. no tengo copyright
The best time for value stocks is coming out from a recovery, where those economies of scale, well, you get large efficiencies and operating leverage, not financial leverage but operating leverage and value stocks tend to do very well then.
At this late economic cycle where we are in this bear market, it's not surprising that value has had a tough time. Oscar Pulido: And so, if this volatility continues, and you've touched on this a little bit, but it sounds like there are some interesting opportunities presenting themselves for investors who want to think about integrating cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument into their portfolio where perhaps in the past they haven't.
Andrew Ang: This is precisely the time that I think general investors should be thinking about incorporating factor strategies. And it's actually for defense.Bitcoin
Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument can employ factors also on the offense, but let's concentrate on how we can employ factors defensively. And I want to talk about three things. Defense in your equity allocation; potentially also in your equities, sometimes the defense is a great offense; and then factors employed defensively in our total portfolios. So, the first one, about defense, we could think about defensive factors like minimum volatility or quality.
And I think right now during this bear market, this is a time that we want stocks with low risk. These stocks will have, over the long run, market-like returns. But we're going to have reduced volatility. And I think you also want companies that have less volatile earnings with lower leverage.
I think that's just prudent where we are in the business cycle today. So, the first way we can employ factors is to look at defensive strategic allocations to these defensive factors.
Sometimes though, we can actually for those investors, and there are only certain numbers of those, employ factors opportunistically, and we talked about some of the outperformance of momentum.
And so, the time variation of factors offers some investors link opportunity to take on time-varying factor exposure potentially as an incremental source of returns. And then finally, while we want cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument hold diversified portfolios in a multi-asset cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument, in there, we want diversification across all of those macro factors.
So, while equities have gone down, by in large, fixed income has done quite well over the first few months of If we look at balancing out those macro factors, we can obtain some defense in our total portfolios, too. Oscar Pulido: So, Andrew, having done some good education here around factor investing, let's switch gears a little bit and let's talk about another topic that has made a lot of headlines this year, which is sustainability. And throughout this mini-series, we've talked as a firm at BlackRock, that we are very much at a pivotal moment when it comes to sustainability.
We've talked about the fact that climate risk is investment risk. So, when you think about factor investing, a space cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument you've been associated with for many years, how does that relate to everything that's going on with sustainability today?
Andrew Ang: You know, Oscar, I grew up in Australia, and so I'll use this little phrase that I think of factors and sustainability as tea and biscuits. They just go together so well.
And if we think about the economic rationale for factors, they result from a reward for bearing risk, a structural impediment and behavioral biases.
And certain sustainability criteria and cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument fit those as well. Here, for example, if you think about the E, and we think about carbon and the regulatory framework, well I think that falls under a structural impediment or at least market structure.
And then we might have an S for social and that social has elements of behavioral biases coming from investors but also managers and employees and sometimes even regulators. And then finally, we might have G, governance, which I think if done properly might actually reduce risk.COVID advisory For the health and safety of Meetup communities, we're advising that all Best jurisdictions for cryptocurrency fund be hosted online in the coming weeks.
So, it actually fits into that reward for risk category. But what's really important is this economic rationale, because for those sustainability signals that do fall into these categories, some, but not all, we're absolutely going to use them to generate alpha, to have higher returns and to reduce risk for investors. And Oscar, I'd love to share some of the latest research that we've had on using ESG or using sustainability metrics in factors.
Oscar Pulido: That'd be great. I know that one of the questions that often comes up is the reliability or the quality of the data that investors can access around, you touched on E, S and G, environmental, social and governance considerations.
So, how do you obtain that data and then how does it play into factor investing? Andrew Ang: Yeah, let's start off first with cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument. If you're a factor investor, you are click here pro-sustainability because in particular, quality and minimum volatility have significantly above average characteristics on these E, S and G criteria that you expounded on, Oscar.
But we can go further, and I think the most exciting frontier is to incorporate those ESG data or signals into the factor definitions themselves.
So, let's give you two examples. We've started to incorporate green patent quality. So, patents are a really interesting dataset; they're a measure of intangible capital. They monetize intellectual property. So, patents are really interesting actually just for value in and of itself. But you can go further, and patents are filed in different fields.
And there are various classifications of patents and green patents are fields that fall under UN sustainable development goals. It turns out that if you look at the companies that are filing green patents and being awarded them, that has incremental predictive power. Now is that sustainability? Absolutely it is. But we can also incorporate that in a value factor. What's the intuition? I think cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument UN sustainable development goals are not only really important problems for society, but they represent highly profitable opportunities for corporations, too.
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And if you happen to be able to go some way to deliver clean water or renewable energy, I think, well, those are just tremendous commercial opportunities, too. And so, for those companies that are taking that leap, it is risky, but it will be rewarded, and we can incorporate that into a value factor. Oscar Pulido: And just to clarify Andrew, so what you're saying is that there are a number of ways in which we can identify characteristics of value companies, but green patents would just be cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument one of those characteristics that we can look at and that also happens to be a way to think about E, S, G investing as well?
Andrew Ang: That's right.De nada, pero espero no estar ayudando a un narco o a un delicuente.
A second example is looking at corporate culture. And culture absolutely matters. But sometimes it's a bit hard to get a quantitative signal from something that's more qualitative in nature. But I think everybody would agree that culture matters.
And we borrow research that looks at corporate culture in five pillars: innovation, integrity, quality, research and teamwork. And we cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument machine learning techniques, we go through textual documents, we look at the 10, broker-dealer reports that Check this out receives every year, and we build a dictionary from these machine learning techniques, a dictionary that captures all of these five pillars of corporate culture.
We then go through and we count the frequency of that dictionary measuring corporate culture. We make some adjustments like for the total length of the document and for some other things, but at the end of the day, we come up with a quantitative signal for corporate culture.Why Binance? I'm from Bosnia
And that's a non-financial version of quality. We've usually thought about quality with traditional balance sheet and earnings income statements.I literally hate it and I still buy it because I love money
But now we can think about more qualitative, sustainable versions of quality, too. Oscar Pulido: So, you've mentioned value and momentum and quality and these terms for factors, so are what, is what you're saying that ESG itself is a factor? Can we think about if I invest in a manner consistent with high ESG scores, that I, too, will earn a premium in terms of return over the long term, the same way I have with some of the factors that you've studied for many years?
Andrew Ang: That's a great question, Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument. And I view it that we can use certain ESG information to enhance and improve the definition of factors.
But the factors themselves have to meet these various criteria. They have to have an economic rationale. They have to have long time series. We want differentiated returns and we want to offer them at scale, these four criteria that we cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument about earlier.
And not all of these sustainability metrics will fit those criteria. To the extent that we can incorporate those with sustainable data, of course we're going to do it. But sustainability by itself, well, not all of the sustainable data will fit these same criteria as factors. Oscar, let me take a step back and give some comments about the overall framework for integrating sustainability with factor investing.
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Factor investing, the first seminal work on this was Graham and Dodd in And they were two accounting professors at the institution that I taught at as a professor for 15 years, Columbia University. Well they didn't use those words, but they actually did talk about sustainability. They see more about the character of management.
They talked about sector and industry trends which we will classify today as environmental concerns. And they also talked about S, which cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument their language was conservatism.
They didn't have a way to think about quantitatively measuring these. So, ESG has been with us for a very long time, but what we're doing with factors is that we always want that economic rationale.
We cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument at value, quality, momentum, size, minimum volatility, but we're going to do it with the latest research. We want to buy cheap, but we want to buy cheap now with traditional measures and also using green patent value.
And we want high quality companies, but we want to look beyond the earnings and maybe also look at the quality of management. And so, there's a natural evolution. Factors have been always at the forefront of incorporating big data and new research techniques and now we go to AI and machine learning. Factors and sustainability, they're like tea and biscuits. Oscar Pulido: And Andrew, another element that you've studied is the carbon profiles of factors.
And obviously carbon is a big part of the sustainability discussion. So, what have you found with respect to this topic?
Andrew Ang: Yeah. These are really interesting. So, again, if you're a factor investor, generally speaking, if you take these multi-factor combinations, diversified across these style factors, you actually have below average carbon emissions. So, already, if you're a factor investor, you're green. What's very interesting is that we can incorporate both ESG and carbon together.
Let me give you an illustration of that. So, we want to improve ESG. We want to lower carbon. What's the first kind of company that we might want to select? Well, it's a company with highly rated ESG scores, low carbon emissions, but it's one that happens also to be cheap and trending up with also traditional balance sheet and earnings definition of quality.
And if we had to remove one company, say, because that company had ESG scores that were too low or it was emitting too much carbon, then the first sort of company we might cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument excluding from our portfolio would be a company that's really expensive and probably is very volatile. And it has low quality earnings.Especial Coronavirus. Ver todos los cursos.
And that's why in an active formulation we're able to make these improvements. We can take the same historical returns as these traditional factors, but by optimizing them together, well you can have your cake and eat it too. Andrew Ang: We want to continue pushing, incorporating by research, these sustainable data and insights into our factor definitions. Let me give you one more.
It's on deceptive language. And when companies make statements, they make public statements in their earnings calls, they have communications, sometimes that language can be a bit cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument or deceptive. And we can here that up again with modern machine learning techniques.
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And the companies that are more transparent with less deceptive language, they tend to outperform. In fact, you wrote a textbook on factor investing. It's pages. I looked it up.
And there's going to be a lot of folks working from home over the next couple of weeks, and they might want to pick it up off the shelf. But what got you interested in this topic in the first place? Andrew Ang: Thanks, Oscar for reading all plus of that book. I was born in Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument and during the late s and early s that country went through a series of pretty bad race riots, and my parents were searching somewhere safe to bring up their family, and they migrated to Perth, Australia.
And we were one of the first Asian families in this wave of migration there. And I was just different. For many years I was only non-white kid in class.
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You have to question like why and what difference does it make and what should you do about it? I was really fortunate, and I'm so grateful for all of those opportunities growing up in Australia. Proud to be Australian and proud to be American, too. And that questioning of why led me to become a professor. And I left Australia. I did my PhD at Stanford and that was where I fell in love intellectually with factors because it looked one level deep to not the color of the skin that you have or the shape of your body, but to your character.
And that's why I describe factors as the soul of investing. It's what really matters, what drives returns. Oscar Pulido: And since coming to BlackRock, you recently starred in a number of different videos with celebrities from different industries, so Danny Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument, the restauranteur, Idina Menzel, the actress, and basketball coach, Doc Rivers.
Who would be on your list to speak to next? You can't get another person with that same, I mean, the business that she's built, the leading light that she is, TV personality, award winning actress, and just the integrity of her person. We're ending each see more of our mini-series on sustainability with a question to each of our guests, which is, what's that cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument moment that changed the way you thought about sustainability?
Andrew Ang: Well I have two kids, Oscar, and just thinking about their future and we're also in the business of building futures, not only for ourselves, but for future generations.
And of course, we have to think about sustainability, but it's not only for the sake of being sustainable. It's also about being able to create better outcomes for our clients.
And factors and ESG, they're like tea and biscuits. We can do both. Oscar Pulido: Thank you so much for joining us Andrew. It's been a pleasuring having you on The Bid. Jack Aldrich: Last week, the coronavirus drove a massive market sell-off. Welcome to The Bid. Jack Aldrich: To put it in very technical terms, last week was a bad week for markets.
Walk us through what happened and why. Mike Pyle: My basic assessment as to what occurred was up until the very tail end of source week before last, markets were effectively discounting coronavirus as a China-specific public health challenge that had global economic repercussions, but fundamentally something that was contained to China and the region; and then propagating out as an economic matter.
And I think what we saw at the very tail end of the week before last, and certainly throughout last week, was a growing reassessment of cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument underlying assumption from market participants as it appeared as if the dimensions of the public health challenge were spilling over out of China into other parts of the world, including increasingly Europe and other developed markets.
And I think that that reassessment from a China public health challenge to something with regional and global economic implications to a global public health challenge with even larger global economic cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument, potentially, is really what drove that reassessment and the very extreme market moves we saw.
That obviously happened last week, with markets falling into a correction quicker than they ever had in history. Mike Pyle: So my assessment is there was no particular reason why we had to have a market event like what we had last week independent of the coronavirus. This here to be an economy where the underlying health is quite strong; no particular alarm bells out there ringing in terms of recession risk, absent the coronavirus.
And so to my eyes, yes, can there be air pockets and what have you that markets hit from time to time? Of course. But I think in my eyes, the real emergence of this different phase of the coronavirus challenge cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument was just that core driver across really the course of last week.
To me, just the overwhelming driver last week was this new phase of the coronavirus challenge.Vijay January 14,6: All that the US has done sinceis hit the ball further and further down the road while at the same time blowing it more and more with air read Quantitative Easing.
Jack Make money mining bitcoin And you mentioned how we were thinking about the markets beforehand, our base case being generally that global growth would edge higher this year. How have recent events changed cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument and how has this coronavirus development affected that view? Mike Pyle: I think our view coming into the year exactly as you say was growth was going to edge higher, led by some of the more cyclical aspects of the global economy: trade, capex, led by places like the emerging markets and Japan.
And I think that led us to not just have a relatively constructive attitude towards risk assets, both equity and credit, but also with particularity have greater emphasis on some of the more cyclical exposures in the global asset mix. So, we wanted to offer a reassessed view of what the global outlook looks like, and I think it looks like a couple of things.
One, the coronavirus challenge is very clearly now globally a quite material economic event. That said, our base case, to talk constructively for a moment, is still that this is a temporary shock of uncertain duration, but temporary, and when we get to the far side of this shock, we should see cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument global economy reaccelerate quite rapidly and financial markets follow behind.Ahí los blancos llenan vasos de tubo
That may be a little bit different for Europe, for Japan, some of these places that were already a little bit in the doldrums. But the underlying momentum in the U. And we think that that still matters. I think there are some risks as well.Configurar El Volumen En El Forex, Cryptocurrencies Stylized Facts On A New Investible Instrument
And I think the best evidence early on is going to be, is China successful in bringing its economy back online without having the secondary outbreaks of a sufficient scale that cause them to have to pause or reverse? The second is just how big is the economic shock itself going to be in the major developed markets? And importantly, what is the magnitude of the public health response necessary cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument bring the outbreak under control?
That will go a long way towards determining how deep the impact is. And then third I think goes to the policy response. How effective are agencies cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument government in terms of actually effectuating a policy response? And then, how effective is it? I think reasons for both optimism but also reasons for a bit of pause on both of those sides. On the optimistic side, I think we are going to see real activism from policymakers around the globe.
Central bankers are pointing in the direction of significant new easing, it looks as if there should be real liquidity support put in place for businesses, and other actors in the economy that are strained because of the abrupt falloff in cash flows or income, what have you. And then importantly, also going to see real change in fiscal policy. The degree of policy response and the degree of its effectiveness, particularly around this question of making sure that companies especially small and medium companies, and firms that face this abrupt falloff in income from the economic shock, have the tools available to get through the crisis.
How are you thinking about the growth story in China and how what cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument there might flow through to the rest of the world? The reason to look at China a couple of weeks ago was principally because this was the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak; because we were mapping the way it flowed through from a very abrupt economic slowdown in China through, on both the supply and the demand sides, to the global economy.
And Https://mobiringtones.fun/skm/30-10-2020.php think we heard a fair amount about this from a number of sources, but one illustrative one was Apple, which gave revised guidance a couple of weeks ago. You see that manifest in a bunch of different ways including things like corporate earnings.
One, it seems as if one way in which economic activity is really impacted is by the public health measures that are taken to confront an outbreak.
And while I think it is extremely unlikely that we would see measures of the kind taken in China able to be taken in other parts of the world, nonetheless, that basic insight prevails that beyond the outbreak itself, the measures taken to combat slow economic activity. The other thing that I think is worth keeping an eye on is now that China looks to be — and the WHO made this consensus last week — now that it has really changed the trajectory of the outbreak trading cryptocurrency tax China, how are they going to go about restarting their economy and how successful are they going to be at that?
I think we have the view that they should be able to re-accelerate relatively quickly with the big risk that as they do so, are there secondary or tertiary outbreaks that mean that they have to slow back down and put restrictions back in place?
Or do they have to put the brakes on again? This is a cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument to be back at your home base in terms of the benchmarks that you have in your portfolios around equities, credit, other risk assets. Now as I said, we articulated a view coming into the year around being pro-risk and being more cyclically oriented. Like I said, we think that on the backside of this shock, there is going to cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument a pretty significant re-acceleration in economic activity and financial market activity.
And the dislocations cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument we are seeing now are ultimately going to provide investors with pretty significant opportunity.
Jack Aldrich: Absolutely. So, you talked about thinking about this over a long time horizon and there being some opportunities. Like I said, our overweight into risk assets was really around some of the more cyclical exposures out there: emerging markets, Japan, high yield, what have you. Those are places that tend to have really good runs of performance go here difficult market environments.
Treasuries continue to perform this really core ballast role in portfolios and standing by the allocations that you have right now, is an important thing to do while these challenges are working their way through the system. Jack Aldrich: Fantastic.
Thanks so much for being here today. Well if portfolios are any indication, many investors actually shy away. Emerging markets, or EMs, are unfamiliar territory to most.
And that fear of the unknown may be enough to create cold feet for some investors. So what makes a country emerging and why are we talking about them? More than two dozen countries are cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument as emerging markets, but no two are exactly alike. They often come with more risk, and they can be a source of growth and certainly diversification in a portfolio. On this episode of The Bid, we'll speak with Gordon Fraser.
We'll discuss the outlook for emerging market stocks broadly inwhere he sees opportunity and why we think now is the time to take a closer look. I'm your host, Mary-Catherine Lader.
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Mary-Catherine Lader : Go here, you're an emerging markets portfolio manager and many people probably think that they understand or know what exactly an emerging market is. But it's maybe not as intuitive or exactly what people think. How do you define it? Gordon Fraser : Many people think an emerging market is about wealth. They think rich countries are developed and the poorer countries are all emerging.
That's a bit of a misconception actually. It's not really about wealth. In emerging markets you've got some very rich countries like Qatar or cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument UAE together with quite poor countries like India or Pakistan.
And it's also not about technological development, which a lot of people think. In emerging markets, Korea is extremely developed from a technological standpoint. What really defines an emerging market is actually how developed cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument stock market is. Index providers look at things like how liquid the market is, how well-established the settlement systems are, the custodial systems are.
The things that kind of really make the market function. And they analyze that and they classify markets into different buckets.
The markets in the world that are the most developed are called developed markets, places like the U. The ones that are cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument little less established from a market standpoint fall in the emerging market bucket. China, India and Brazil are some of the well-known ones, but also some smaller ones like Colombia or Peru.
And the least established markets are actually frontier markets. These are the ones that are very illiquid. So that's how we look at it. It's by index classification and it's about how well a market functions, not how rich or poor the people are. Mary-Catherine Lader : And so how a market functions might also affect the information that's available on it this web page how you can engage in coming to views about it.
What are some of the ways that go here think investing in emerging markets is different than investing in developed markets? Gordon Fraser : I've been an EM investor all my life, so I can't really tell you how it is investing in developed markets.
But from my perspective, first of all, there's a lot more countries. Emerging markets is cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument countries in the index.
They've all got their own currency. So unlike in Europe where a lot of countries have a euro, they all have their own currency. You've got big commodity exporters like Brazil or Russia. Big commodity importers like Turkey. It's a really varied set in emerging markets.
And all of these countries have their own economic cycle. So the first point is that really EMs have their own cycle and you actually can add a lot of value in emerging markets through choosing which country you're going to invest in, doing so-called asset allocation. The other thing that's really interesting, MC, about emerging markets is it's just much more stock level dispersion.
Just an incredible level of dispersion of stock returns. So more country dispersion; more stock dispersion. Here of that is great for an active investor and that's why I'm glad that I'm an EM investor and not a cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument market investor.
Mary-Catherine Lader : And emerging market companies are pretty different than developed market companies in terms of disclosure and probably the context in which they operate. So how does that shape the kind of research you can do and what do you see as the major differences between covering companies in EM? Gordon Fraser : I guess, in short, you just need to do a lot more research. You're quite right. They've got a lot of institutional and retail shareholders.
They're typically run by an independent board. If you contrast that with emerging markets, usually most companies are run by a first or maybe a second-generation entrepreneur. They will typically control the board. They will drive most of the strategy of the company.
They will be responsible for hiring the management. And that's just a pretty different proposition. It means they tend to be a little bit more racy, a little bit more aggressive.
They might also be a little bit more economical with the truth frankly.
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I often tell a funny story to people that I keep a whole lot of business cards in my desk of management that have kind of misled me over cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument. So there's a good and a bad side of that. They're more aggressive, but sometimes they also might mislead you. Because of this, there's less information. So you need to do a lot more research. That's the opportunity as well as the curse.
Mary-Catherine Lader : As you talk about the extra research that you have to do to effectively cover emerging markets companies, it sounds like a good investor really could have an edge.
In developed markets we're increasingly concerned or active investors are increasingly concerned that there isn't much edge left to click here create alpha or excess returns. But actually emerging markets haven't performed that well in the past few years, so what's the deal?
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Gordon Fraser : Yeah. That's a fair observation. The last decade has been pretty tough for emerging markets. But investors with a slightly longer memory will remember that the early s were absolutely sensational.
So was fantastic for emerging markets. So really there's been a couple of things going on, especially lately that have been a problem. Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument characterize it as sort of two key headwinds.
The first one was just how well the U. The U. The Federal Reserve was hiking interest rates because the U.That would be nice for people who have NEO and Gas
That was leading to a lot of pressure in emerging markets because emerging markets are actually quite big borrowers of dollar loans and dollar debt, both the countries themselves and also the companies.
When U. So that was one big issue, which is potentially easing away.No change in view. Stay with IOTX. Buy 139-149, Bottomed at 115. Target is 180-220
The other one was trade. Emerging markets still have a very export-led growth model in general. And the pressures that were happening on trade because of the trade war between the U.
It was causing corporates to maintain very low levels cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument inventory. It was causing corporates to hold back on their capital expenditure plans. And these two things were really depressing demand and causing an issue for EM earnings. So those learn more here the two kind of major headwinds we've been fighting in EM over the latter half of the last decade.
And potentially actually both of those headwinds are starting to fade. Mary-Catherine Lader : So you mentioned that you see trade headwinds lessening, and we as a firm see that in It seems like trade tensions have sort of moved sideways, and so we've talked about how this would cause sectors in markets that were beaten down by trade cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument last year to actually recover this year. How much of a stressor is the U.
Gordon Fraser : I think it was more than the actual war itself. It was fear of something bigger. Uncertainty is always the worst thing. So the tariffs that were imposed so far and have been slightly rolled back on Chinese exports weren't the biggest problem.
It was a fear of much higher tariffs and more onerous restrictions in the future that was holding back investment, making companies keep those inventory levels lean. So that was really the problem.
More info as you said, as that kind of trade war paused or we had a détente, you see companies start to restock. You see them start to start investment again.
And so you can spot that actually in a number of indicators, things like technology capex, tool orders, even the price of some industrial commodities will show you that these pressures were starting to ease. And that's why as a firm we're more optimistic on growth heading in to Mary-Catherine Lader : You mentioned that we're optimistic on growth, but we're seeing slightly slowing growth in China. Given that China is the largest representation in emerging markets indices, what extent does its fate determine the direction of the space overall?
Some countries really rely on China. I think China has been seeing slowing growth and maybe in the first half of cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument year growth will also disappoint because of the recent coronavirus outbreak. But I think absent that, you would have actually started to see a pickup in China for those reasons discussed on the improvement on trade and improvement on capex.I got 20 ripple I want to get rid of
So we were expecting to see growth pick up in China and that might now need to be deferred to the second half of the year. But China is not the be all and end all. There are lots of emerging markets that really have very little interaction with China.
Take South Africa.
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That's the tip of Africa really has nothing to do with China. Turkey, very independent of China for instance. And actually click here some big winners like Mexico. Mexico has been winning share of U. Mexico's share of U. It's not a deal breaker that China has been a little slow and we'd expect China to start to actually pick up maybe in the second half of cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument year.
Mary-Catherine Lader : Shifting gears a little bit to talk about your experience as an investor in emerging markets, I'm curious what do you think are sort of the major pitfalls that some investors fall into in this space? When people think of emerging markets, they really think about that sort of poorer country narrative catching up with the rest of the world.
That's not really what they get nowadays. When people are buying emerging markets, what they should really be thinking about is buying the potential to add a lot of alpha. And by alpha I mean outperformance versus the index. Why can you do that?Bitcoin
You can do that because you have all of these different countries that have very different macroeconomic cycles. You can allocate capital to countries in the early stage and take away capital from the late stage and add value that way.
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Mary-Catherine Lader : So you've been investing in emerging click for 14 years. And what's changed in the asset class over that timeframe? Do you see more people who sort of understand what it's cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument about now than you did when you first started? Gordon Fraser : It's changed a lot actually, Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument.
When I first started, I'd say it was really about access. Let's call that emerging market version 1. Version 1. And the economic model was actually about kind of growth convergence. It was very much that kind of poorer country becoming richer economic story. Copying what has happened in the developed world, trying to do it faster, quicker, better. And when I look at emerging markets today, I look at alpha. But from an economic standpoint, the business model has changed.
It's really actually about innovation and leadership. Whereas emerging markets were just catching up with what was happening in the developed world, it's actually now starting to take leadership. And my absolute favorite example about this is payments in China.
So if you imagine I'm in Beijing with my family let's say for a holiday and we get a taxi ride. We go to a restaurant, maybe I take my kids to get a haircut, and then we go to the cinema, and we go back to our hotel having taken in some of the sights. We can do all of that without using a single note and without using a single piece of plastic using WeChat Pay or AliPay or one of the other payment mechanisms.
China has just actually skipped the plastic age, which is really link to think about. That's actually five times the amount that Visa cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument MasterCard process in the U. It's dramatically bigger. And it's all digital and it's all instant.
So China has actually leapfrogged, you know, where America is as one of the most technologically-advanced nations in the world. The exact same payment stuff is happening in India. It's happening in Indonesia and all these countries are just skipping straight to the digital age. So EM has changed in that respect.Bitcoin
It's about innovation. It's about leadership. And it's not just about copying the West anymore. Mary-Catherine Lader : It sounds like it's a pretty interesting time, to your point, to be investing in emerging markets.
And what are some of the other reasons that we're talking about this now?If your coin didn’t make 20% since June 13; you just wait coz inevitably all oversold coins should be bouncing assuming you’re holding a good coin
You mentioned some of the opportunities created by technological advancement. What else? I think it's an interesting kind of structural argument and a cyclical argument. We talked about a cyclical one a little earlier on. There's been a couple of really strong headwinds for emerging markets: trade, U.
And both of those are turning around. So cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument cyclical story is I think quite strong.
But there's a really interesting structural story as well. And just to unpack this a little bit, it's about essentially the share of corporate profits as a percentage cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument GDP.
I'll explain this a little bit. If you think about an economy that produces a certain amount of output, you've got two ways of producing that output: labor and capital. If you look at the developed world, the share of the economic output that is accruing to capital and the shareholders of those companies is really high.
It's actually at a year high. The share of corporate profits, the GDP in the developed world is at a record high. In emerging markets, it's actually at a record low. It's never been lower.Been buying for 1 year
And just to explain why that's the case, it goes back to our discussion earlier, MC, about the last decade for emerging markets. During the boom times, it built so much capital up in emerging markets, so much money came in that when demand disappointed, companies left with excess capital and the profitability fell and the margins fell and the corporate profits to GDP fell.
That's really interesting because you had 10 years of work out of this and you're buying potentially into assets where the profitability is below the long-term cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument. Mary-Catherine Lader : You mentioned that emerging markets have made a more volatile asset class and the sort of ups and downs. What link manage those ups and cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument Gordon Fraser : Oh, it's tough.
There's two types of volatility that we face day to day. The first one is the volatility of the overall index. That's almost every year. There's big index level volatility. And really the only way to manage that is by trying to outperform those events and trying to deliver a better outcome through selecting the right securities, through to managing your exposure to the market. So let's call that the bad volatility, MC.
The good type of volatility is the dispersion. So that's the Country A doing a lot better than Country B. That's Stock A doing a lot better than Stock B. And that dispersion between the countries and the variation of returns between the stocks is good volatility because that's your kind of feeding ground for active investors. So one type is bad, at least a higher volatility for investors. The other type is good because it gives you the potential at least for adding value and outperformance.
Mary-Catherine Lader : We could keep talking about this for so much longer, but I'm going to end with a rapid fire round of quick questions. Are you ready? Mary-Catherine Lader cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument Okay. So emerging markets sound very eventful. What's been your scariest article source in this space? Gordon Fraser : I think it's probably my wife's scariest moment rather than mine.
It was after we had kids I've got to say, so I feel a bit guilty about this now. But I went to Ukraine twice during a conflict with the Russian rebels and the Ukrainian government when the Russian-backed rebels invaded Donbass. I went there twice to try and figure out what was going on. And I had an armed guard each time. I actually got to play war correspondent. I dialed into BlackRock's daily call live from Ukraine with an on-the-ground update. One of the scariest moments, but probably also one of the highlights as well.
Mary-Catherine Lader : It sounds like you've met a lot of memorable people in this area. Who's the most memorable? He's pretty memorable. But I think probably the one I was cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument to meet was actually Bill Clinton who's definitely not an emerging market person.
But he did attend a conference in Russia and I had the opportunity to shake his hand and talk to him for a few minutes. I was privileged to get a photo. I had one copy and it's a funny story.
I actually gave it to my grandfather who was in hospital to kind of cheer him up, and he had go here. Towards the end of his life, the staff would ask him, "Who's in the photo, John? And he'd say, "That's Bill Clinton. It's a sad and funny story that he remembered Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument rather than his grandson towards the end.
Mary-Catherine Lader : And how many emerging markets have you been to? Gordon Fraser : I think I'm in the mid-thirties, 35, 36 I think, if I haven't forgotten one or two, which I think pretty much covers all of the emerging markets with a decent functioning stock exchange.
I guess what's more interesting is, as I mentioned earlier, I've got some kids. I've got three children. And they're now old enough to travel to emerging markets.
I take my four-year-old, my cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument, and my ten-year-old around emerging markets. I think they've done ten, which is something I'm pretty proud of as more info parent. Mary-Catherine Lader : Especially if you're under ten years old. That's pretty impressive.
Mary-Catherine Lader : Thanks so much for joining us today, Gordon. This has been a pleasure. But inwe see trade tensions moving sideways, giving the global economy some room to grow. Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument number of recent developments underscore our view. Over the past month, we've seen the signing of an initial, albeit limited, trade deal between the U.
We've seen the ratification by the U. And we've seen a significantly reduced risk of a no-deal Brexit in the UK. But despite these positive developments, a number of other geopolitical risks still loom and could undermine growth. Tensions between the U. Technology competition between the U. And could see one of the most consequential elections in modern U.Fuck this bs they say roadmap is coming out
This is all taking place against a backdrop of geopolitical fragmentation and heightened levels of political polarization.
National Security Advisor. Tom outlines the key geopolitical risks on our radar and his view for how they're likely to evolve. I'm your host, Catherine Kress. And one of the core themes to our market narrative in was global trade tensions, particularly tracking the issues between the U. So thinking about global trade cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument broadly, and the U.
And we think towards the end ofwe saw some relief in that area. And we also had in the United Kingdom the election of a conservative government with quite a good margin and with the prospect that it could be in place for an extended period of time, taking away some of the concerns around Brexit.
So we had some relief, bitcoin legit double we think provides some breathing room for an uptick in growth in Now on trade specifically, we did have essentially in the Phase One agreement a pause in the trade tensions and the trade escalations between the United States and China. We had a two-year period where, on a cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument basis, we had a lot of disruption in the markets as a result of the trade war, if you will.
And now we have cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument agreement which essentially brings us to a pause and provides an opportunity for de-escalation and provides markets with more certainty with respect to the U. We expect implementation of that agreement in It did, however, leave key issues for negotiation and a second phase, a Phase Two agreement.
And those issues are really important and, in some ways, much tougher than the issues that were addressed in the initial agreement. Those issues include subsidies and cyber rules of the road and the role of state-owned enterprises going forward. The specifics with respect to the Phase One agreement between the United States and China include steps that are focused on conduct by China with respect to its treatment of foreign companies, especially U.
It provides for significant increases in purchases by China of U. And it had some trade relief, essentially a pause in implementation of tariffs.Nos vamos parriba otra vez...rompemos a los 8k$?
So we're still in a situation where there's a lot of tariffs on both sides. The bottom line, I think here, is that there's a pause. But the truth is, we're in a competitive phase in the relationship between the United States and China. And in my judgment, it's going to take years to work that out, frankly, as we work through a new era. And as I mentioned, we do have a new North American trade agreement entered into, cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument is a positive for the North American and for the global trade markets.
We are watching, and we will watch this year, the U. There are a number of issues which are on the plate between the United States and the EU. Una de las peculiaridades principales del Volumen es que es siempre un poco alto que el precio mismo. El Volumen en el Trading, para mi como trader técnico, es fundamental ya que me permite interpretar la intensión y fuerza de los toros o los osos.
También me permite identificar posibles maniobras de manipulación profesional, las cuales son muy comunes en el mercado, que se dan en los niveles de here y venta, o soportes y resistencias podemos cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument las huellas de los grandes traders y.Wow. Is that interactive stickers in Telegram?
Bueno no te confundas con eso una cosa esq cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument una cuenta de 10, y otra es que el lote standar sea deok y si donde dice volumen es con lo que tu te vas a apalancar para entrar al mercado donde 1 es un lote standar osea2 sony asi sucesivamente, despues de esto vienen cantidades mas pequeñas que es que a su vez es un mini lote osea 10, y posterior vienen.
Por ello, debemos calcular en todo momento el tamaño óptimo de cada posición. De esta manera conseguiremos maximizar beneficios y minimizar riesgos a largo plazo, así como proteger el capital de la cuenta.
Accesibilidad - No es de extrañar que el mercado Forex tiene un cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument de operaciones de 3 billones En el mercado Forex, la rentabilidad se expresa de numerables maneras. cheapest cryptocurrency click at this page buy. When $VTHO trading into Binance? I hope you didn't short valeria Ah cool, but i have no job offer And that other cheaper coins will be adapted widely, for example NXT or another alt Vitalik is a noob apparently Maybe they play around with the system just to see what it is like Bitcoin price chart 12 months Los 2 tenemos razon jajaj Algo trading in options 82 Lo pasaron en el chat de ripple gringo L ya tienes una confirmación Storj is the longest standing service with most no of users and farmers Nah more market buys means ppl more anxious to collect Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument the fomo gonna get people in So i will likely sleep a bit.
maybe tomorrow morning when market gives a selloff a bit, probably if market will drop eth goes 480 dollars. if market will rise 500 will be broken. and 7500 breaks but for now, seems we double retested and failed 7500 Esas están regaladas Screenshot (20 ago. 2017 18:01:33). Especial Coronavirus. Ver todos los cursos. Visión global de BlackRock. Comprende los mercados financieros con The Bid, un podcast de BlackRock.Seems not posible with currently market conditions.
Escuchar The Bid para descubrir la perspectiva de BlackRock sobre eventos de mercado e ideas de inversión oportunos. Subscribir en iTunes. Escuchar en Spotify. Healthcare companies and researchers around the world are mobilizing to create a vaccine; technology has shifted to emphasize solutions for working at home; and clean energy has become even more in focus as companies and individuals think about their impact on the environment.
The long-term societal shifts that we believe will persist through the pandemic. Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument hope you enjoy. Jeff Spiegel: Oscar, thanks cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument much for having me.
Oscar Pulido: Oh, for sure. So, I can definitely relate to that. Now, these are, as I understand, long-term structural forces that are shaping the way we live and work. Jeff Spiegel: So, as you said, megatrends are long-term transformational forces that are really changing the way we live and work. Today, a number of them source actually having really once-in-a-lifetime moments where those long-term forces are aligning with short-term cyclical drivers.
Simply put, the world will be different after COVID, one example of that is going to be the acceleration of key megatrend themes that were already coming and are now going to arrive even faster. The first is technology: areas like Click to see more, cybersecurity, networking, data. The second is demographics. For the first time in less than 10 years, cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument will be more grandparents than grandchildren in the U.
Third is urbanization, which is about the move to cities. In the EM markets in Asia and Africa, that number is less than half.
Fourth is climate change. And lastly emerging global wealth. Oscar Pulido: So, Jeff, as cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument mention these five megatrends, it sounds like investing in any one of these is really about investing in multiple sectors of the economy.
It feels like you would have sort of cross-sector type investments if you were trying to pursue these megatrends. Is that the right way to think about it? Jeff Spiegel: Exactly.
So much technological innovation is getting adopted in non-technology areas. Think about the use of robotics in industrials, the click of artificial intelligence in communication services, the use of big data techniques in medicine.
Traditional sector strategies tend not to really capture megatrends, which again, gets back to that point that they tend to be cyclical.
Oscar Pulido: So, if megatrends are long-term and structural and meant to persist over many decades, you mentioned your commute is quite short these days. But we know that market downturns are also opportunities, rebalancing the equities during these declines allows investors to recoup their losses and often then some when the market does eventually come back and it always has.Tick Volume.
So, cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument downturns are often pivotal moments for megatrends. They may suffer with the broad market in a sell-off when selling can appear kind of indiscriminate across asset classes and market segments. See more they can sell-off even harder than the overall market, but they tend to outperform in the aftermath.
So, ecommerce is a really neat example of that. Before the financial crisis of, we all knew ecommerce was coming, more shopping was happening online, firms were starting to dominate retail sales. That cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument the financial crisis was a huge opportunity to buy the ecommerce megatrend at significantly reduced valuations.
Jeff Spiegel: Yeah, so I would say that the farthest I am traveling on most days is to go down and get those packages and that is one of the highlights of my day at the moment to be sure. And then as far as urbanization and climate change, these are places where we expect that subsequent rounds of government stimulus have the potential to drive outperformance as people are put back to work in these areas. So, we know the long-term structural theses behind these megatrends.
Oscar Pulido: You mentioned a number of interesting themes. Cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument, how are we seeing this play out and what implications does this have for after a vaccine is ultimately developed? Jeff Spiegel: So, the vaccine is a key question for society and our safety. We saw genomics and immunology as key areas of medical innovation before all this started.
Breakthroughs in mRNA sequencing are allowing scientists to decode the disease at an incredibly rapid pace. So, the major drug companies at the forefront of vaccine development are relying on a range of firms in the field of genomics to enable them.
Likewise, immunology is helping to incubate treatments that work directly with our immune systems.
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Not to mention, repurposing drugs in immunology that are used in places like rheumatoid arthritis, an autoimmune disease; not to create vaccines, but to treat those who are already infected.
The latter, that one firm is really hard to identify. Oscar Pulido: Let me also ask you about the technology side of this. Do you think that even after people begin returning to working in offices, will there be more remote work than there was prior to the crisis?
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Jeff Spiegel: So, I think the short answer is yes, right? If we think about this, in a matter of weeks, virtually all corporate employees around the globe started working from home, non-essential medical visits became virtual, so did read more for hundreds of millions of students, maybe more than that. So, companies leading in remote software have therefore cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument their products leveraged at record rates.
So are data center wreaths which have been seemed surging demand for their services which power the transition. Is it the short term, is it long term? The answer is both. In fact, we see the cyclical tailwind pushing connectivity forward, meaning that the future is actually coming faster. So, companies have invested in work from home tech. They are learning what many tech companies have known and been adopting for years that virtual work is actually effective and therefore likely to proliferate after this massive unplanned beta test that was effectively sprung on the world.
Oscar Pulido: And I imagine this has implications for cybersecurity, right? If companies have more of their employees working from home, they have to be thinking about the security risk.
So, obviously more people on the networks and more people on the internet. How are companies thinking about the risks to this? It means firms are massively investing in the space. Jeff Spiegel: Yeah. This is a great example of where the structural and cyclical are colliding and really cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument megatrends forward.
And today, AI is being applied to a range of crisis areas: understanding and mapping click pandemic, keeping track of those under quarantine. Not to mention, many leading AI firms are actually lending their AI super computing power to drug cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument enabling testing of treatments in days versus the months it would take using natural or more traditional computing power. Oscar Pulido: And lastly, you mentioned clean energy, and you also touched on climate change being one of the five megatrends.
But can you talk a little bit about the growing interest in sustainability and maybe more specifically renewable power. How do you see this continuing through the pandemic? In fact, governments have pledged two trillion dollars of renewable investments in the near term.
In a push driven by governments themselves, businesses, consumers, all around the world looking to go more green. Short term, the stimulus the government is focused on so far is getting cash into the pockets of those who need it and ensuring the financial system keeps functioning. In the midterm, in subsequent rounds of stimulus, governments around the cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument are likely to put people back to work through infrastructure projects and a lot of those, we think, will be focused cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument clean energy.
So, despite the precipitous decline of oil, clean energy has been doing well and we expect that to continue or even accelerate even further when we see those later rounds of stimulus putting people back to work please click for source helping us build out a green economy. Jeff Spiegel: The most important thing for investors to know unquestionably is that staying invested and rebalancing the equities is critical in a downturn.
Long-term structural shifts do present an opportunity to do that.Both can afford to sleep whole day and still be in top 3
So, I would encourage investors to look at areas with a wide range of names poised for that long-term outperformance and names that were poised for it even before this crisis. But when it comes to investing, thinking long-term has proven to be a recipe for success. So, thank you so much for joining cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument today.
It was a pleasure having you on The Bid. Index performance is for illustrative purposes only. Oscar Pulido: Over the past few weeks, the coronavirus has driven markets into turmoil. This market uncertainty has driven a lot of questions. What are the parallels between today and the financial crisis of ? Is this crisis worse?
What signs cryptocurrencies stylized facts on a new investible instrument we looking for which suggest we are on the path to recovery? Kate Moore: In terms of the economic environment going into the crisis versus today, they could not be more different.
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Kate Moore: Inwe had some serious and deep fractures in the economy. We had huge amounts of debt both at the household and the corporate level. There was a white-hot housing market that was a bubble primed for bursting. And we had significant imbalances across not just the U. It is temporary, it is transitory, and while it is tragic and scary, it is just not the same.
Unemployment levels were at record lows before we started. We had much more solid corporate balance sheets, companies just never re-levered up in the same way that they had before the financial crisis. Decentralised cryptocurrency exchange best business plan pdf.
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- -- Laith Hyari: Drink more tea! Your commentaries are great. Keep it coming!
- Andre Me: Cómo se puede contactar con privado? El link me interesa. maquinas bitcoin como funciona?
- -- Silent Damage: the opponent was a noob transfer from coinbase to robinhood...
- Augusto Sousa: You’re dreaming if you don’t think a correction is coming.
- - Kevin Neira: Great video! Thanks. Can the tick by tick data be exported to excel or any output format)? Also, can two pairs be tested at the same time? is cryptocurrency dead june 2021:-)
- Eye Of LION: LTC has lower fees, faster transactions and overall more functional than btc but look at the price of the two coins. Name still matters cryptocurrency trading bot 2021!
- - Harry Milgrau: Bueno a mi me parece todo esto como: porque simple cuando se puede complicar... hasta que nadie no se entera de lo que esta pasando, igual que hacen ahora los bancos virtual currency rates:-)
- Secret Agent: Would be churning out options etc. in no time :P
- -- Coco Studio: Excellent video. Love your “FRANK” opinions. Freedom of speech! We pride on that in the US. TMI...you’re the best!!!
- Lake Point: How does someone go about mining new altcoins? Does each coin have it's own wallet the moment it's created?
- -- Alina Gamboa: Je me tape 23 minutes de vidéo pour au final apprendre à gagner 90€/an. En plus le logiciel du bot j'ai rien compris
- Sarai637: I just bought tether with bitcoin, transaction went through. now it says i have bitcoin again
- - Koren Joy: Toda via estoy esperando la caida que dijiste a 5400
- Gvesterholm: Market decides the price, it's not preset.
- -- Fastone942: I think you guys are really good at talking about Bitcoin but definitely should consider investing some time learning how to use whatever software you guys are using for your live streaming, is a pain in the ass that there are technical difficulties every single day. how to make a altcoin;)
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- -- InГЁs Gachet: 90% of the coins do that
- Rome Italy: I even shared with them the address
- - Biggnasty989: Grabe laki nman ng nascam nila. Kawawa ung nag invest.wag n kau magtitiwala sa mga gnyang networking kc bhira ang d scammer jn.